It may no longer be the year of 'Lincoln'

>>> it's not hard to predict who will win the oscars this year, daniel day -lewis, who is one of the greatest actors of our time and who became liberating lincoln , and i don't see any way class president steven spielberg can be stopped. it seems like a landslide kind of year. what an idiot. that guy does not know what he's talking about. it is not the year of " lincoln " people. i have to amend my office pool advice here and now. my fellow cyclists love teasing me about my changed electoral map. this triple map is all over our offices but i did pick a perfect map and more importantly as nate silver wrote, if you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast was wrong, there's no glory in sticking to it. as the economist john maynard keynes says, as the facts change, i change my mind. lincoln is a film a lot of people didn't like, me included. it will go down as one of the early oscar front-runners that ran out of gas because hollywood has developed a gigantic crush on ben affleck . a friend of mine in hollywood called him the new varsity quarterback of the high school that is hollywood and that's propelled " argo " to dominate awards seasons so far. winning at the broadcast film critics association , the golden globes , and more importantly at the producer guild award and last night at the screen actors guild awards .

>> that's what actors do all over the world every day, god bless you, thank you so much for making the movies you make and the television you make and the theater you make. we are in your debt.

>> what a nice guy . the producer guild has picked the oscar winner five years in a row. people, it's the year of " argo ." a great film about america and hollywood doing important and valuable things in the world. lincoln and chang go and " zero dark thirty " are also about america doing historic things but they reopened painful scars and implicate us while " argo " is about an unambiguous triumph for america . when america wins you can just feel good about it, and it makes hollywood look great. it's not just american hostages being rescued, it's also the career of ben affleck being rescued. " argo " is an emotionally engaging film with a more emotionally engaging backstory. i could nak at least seven film that is are better than " argo ." moon rise kingdom, holy motors, " zero dark thirty ." here is the guy who in bennifer and in gili growing into a serious filmmaker. it's evidence affleck resurrecting his career. a man so excellent he can't find the road to mediocrity, martin bashir .