Jansing and Co | March 14, 2012
>>> mitt romney says he has the math, rick santorum the momentum and newt gingrich is fighting calls to drop out. msnbc's richard liu is on the path forward. where are we going from here?
>> with wins in mississippi and alabama for ric, marks got madder. missouri, puerto rico and illinois vote early this month. mitt romney needs a win in these air yeas. two southern state , texas and louisiana will challenge romney . let's talk illinois first. millions of dollars are planned for ads, ugly is on in illinois . local polls show a tight race right now as well, which is why some like politico call illinois the new ohio. it's not a romney lockup. the delegate math favors him. math is why puerto rico is important. newt gingrich in that territory, in an uncommon situation interviewed the territory's governor for a news network last year and gingrich supports a territory vote statehood and this could help him. the governor endorsed romney and santorum is on the ground. romney made need the likes of territory to solve his evangelical problem. romney did not win a primary when more than half the voters are evangelical, the red area on top. in romney 's losses, both states had over 75% evangelical voters, 80% in mississippi's case. those are new highs as romney lost. let's look at three upcoming tests, missouri, louisiana and texas . all have evangelical voters in 2008 above 50% topping off at 60 there. this year's trend holds true, romney loses here. texas would be a major loss obviously with over 155 delegates. the total delegates of the five battles discussed is a huge chunk when we take a look at that. that is over 30% of the amount that is needed to take the nomination. one last one for you, chris, as we look forward. pennsylvania, a new quinnipiac poll hassan torm beating romney by